The landscape for running backs in dynasty fantasy football is rapidly evolving, and it’s crucial for managers to act swiftly to maintain roster value. The position is physically grueling, often leading to frequent injuries, yet running backs receive modest financial rewards. Their careers are typically short-lived, with a noticeable decline beginning around age 27 and retirement looming by 30. This reality, though harsh, can be leveraged strategically in fantasy football. Here are three running backs nearing the “age cliff” who should be traded before their value plummets.
Ezekiel Elliott’s market value has seen a slight uptick since rejoining the Dallas Cowboys this offseason. According to KeepTradeCut, his dynasty ranking has improved from RB70 to RB61, mainly because he’s in a better situation compared to last season. Dallas’s offense is expected to outperform New England’s, and their backfield lacks proven talent, making Elliott the presumed starter. However, it’s crucial to evaluate Elliott based on his individual performance rather than his surroundings.
Elliott has experienced a significant decline after starting his career with six seasons of over 1,000 scrimmage yards and an average of 4 yards per carry. In 2022, Tony Pollard outperformed him, prompting the Cowboys to let him go. His stint in New England mirrored this downward trajectory. Given the widespread belief that Elliott will lead Dallas’s backfield, now is an opportune moment to trade him. The season is still a few months away, providing Dallas ample time to acquire another running back. Even if they don’t, Elliott, sharing duties with Rico Dowdle and Deuce Vaughn, is unlikely to reclaim his former glory. Dynasty managers should consider trading Elliott for a third-round pick or a more reliable veteran.
Another running back facing an imminent decline is James Conner. Age and injuries are significant factors in a running back’s performance decline, and Conner, at 29, embodies both concerns. He has a history of annual injuries and is entering the final year of his contract. These factors suggest that 2024 might be his last relevant season. Trading Conner now, before his value diminishes further, could be a savvy move for fantasy managers looking to maximize their roster’s long-term potential.
In conclusion, the running back market in dynasty fantasy football is shifting, and proactive management is essential. Trading away players like Elliott and Conner before they lose all value can help maintain a competitive edge.
